{"schemaVersion":1,"record":{"alertIdentity":{"meetingId":"2026-10-23:canberra","raceDate":"2026-10-23","raceId":"2026-10-23:canberra:r2","sourceVenue":"Canberra","version":1},"barrier":2,"betType":"WIN","caution":"First attempt at 1600m and no win in five starts. Spring Ruler can contest the lead, and Morosini may also go forward; no uncontested lead or rail bias is assumed. Presumptuous Gal has stronger proven mile form, while Mr Tucci and Rapid Reigns can improve. The extra 200m is the principal risk. One verified named-human first pick favours a rival, not a consensus for this selection. No independently measured sectional or replay model.","decisionStage":"final","discipline":"Thoroughbred","distance":"1600m","formSourceUrls":["https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Form.aspx?Key=2026Oct23,ACT,Canberra&recentForm=Y"],"id":"2026-10-23-canberra-r2","lateScratchings":[],"observedOdds":12,"oddsObservedAt":"2026-10-23T02:48:54.853822+00:00","oddsProvider":"Sportsbet","officialField":[{"runnerName":"SOLAR ORBIT","runnerNumber":1},{"runnerName":"TENDI","runnerNumber":2},{"runnerName":"NUTBUSH DANCER","runnerNumber":4},{"runnerName":"PRESUMPTUOUS GAL","runnerNumber":5},{"runnerName":"MR TUCCI","runnerNumber":6},{"runnerName":"RAPID REIGNS","runnerNumber":7},{"runnerName":"SPRING RULER","runnerNumber":8},{"runnerName":"MOROSINI","runnerNumber":9},{"runnerName":"WILD OAKS","runnerNumber":10}],"officialObservedAt":"2026-10-23T02:48:54.879277+00:00","officialSourceUrl":"https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Acceptances.aspx?Key=2026Oct23,ACT,Canberra","originalBarrier":2,"raceDate":"2026-10-23","raceNumber":2,"raceScratchings":[3],"reason":"Nutbush Dancer has improved through three runs this preparation, finishing within a length at this course before a 1.16-length third over 1400m on Good 4. She retains the same rider and 57kg and draws barrier 2, giving her a plausible economical forward run against several habitual backmarkers. At 12.00 the recent dry-track form and position offer a defensible speculative WIN chance. The same-source morning observation was 10.00, so this is a value assessment despite a drift, not a momentum tip. Low-to-moderate confidence.","result":{"checkedAt":"2026-10-23T03:14:02Z","order":"7-5-9-8","outcome":"LOST","sourceUrl":"https://www.racing.com/form/2026-10-23/canberra/race/2","status":"confirmed","verificationNote":"Authoritative race page explicitly displayed Final Result for Canberra Race 2, Jessica Heaton Plate, 1600m, Friday 23 October 2026. Winner 7 Rapid Reigns; next 5 Presumptuous Gal, 9 Morosini, 8 Spring Ruler. Selection 4 Nutbush Dancer listed active at 57kg with Amy McLucas, not scratched; only 3 Justwatchher marked SCR. This establishes a nonwinning WIN selection. Exact lower finishing position and margin remain unavailable under Full Race Results Pending, so neither is asserted. Racing Australia results page at 03:12:11Z said results not currently available; it is not substituted for the authoritative explicit Final Result. Frozen first-public WIN odds 12.00 and timestamp preserved."},"runnerName":"NUTBUSH DANCER","runnerNumber":4,"scheduledAt":"2026-10-23T02:57:00+00:00","selectedAt":"2026-10-23T02:49:25.235Z","sourceUrl":"https://www.sportsbet.com.au/horse-racing/australia-nz/canberra/race-2-11078477","status":"selected","trackCondition":"Good 4","venue":"Canberra","websitePublishedAt":"2026-10-23T02:49:42.337Z"},"reference":{"recordSha256":"d95436a9f742e52a09acd1678d7aeb8df849c082807a0bace5147bc5fee724c1","revision":"f13d7f36-9597-4060-bc3b-3c2c1651ff63","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotSha256":"2f87b65a191a6154a9e2e62bacefdf87754f2fb53c2d9268f13f8229dbd4dafa","version":462}}