{"schemaVersion":1,"record":{"alertIdentity":{"meetingId":"2026-10-24:flemington","raceDate":"2026-10-24","raceId":"2026-10-24:flemington:r8","sourceVenue":"Flemington","version":1},"barrier":5,"betType":"WIN","caution":"His two fourths this preparation are genuine negatives, not assumed unlucky runs. Cosmic Crusader, Light Infantry Man and Aeliana finished ahead of him in the latest Turnbull; a dry track and third-up fitness do not guarantee reversal. Aeliana remains a major threat despite the wider draw. With Land Legend, Light Infantry Man and Blind Raise capable of going forward, an ordinary stalking run is plausible, but a slow sprint, blocked passage or prolonged wide run weakens the case. Initial fixed WIN 4.60 at 09:17 AEST; late 5.00 from the same source is a drift, not support. Price is reported separately, not proof of value. Provisional strategy trial, not a validated model.","decisionStage":"final","discipline":"Thoroughbred","distance":"2040m","formSourceUrls":["https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/AllForm.aspx?Key=2026Oct24,VIC,Flemington","https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Scratchings.aspx?Key=2026Oct24,VIC,Flemington"],"id":"2026-10-24-flemington-r8","lateScratchings":[],"observedOdds":5,"oddsObservedAt":"2026-10-24T06:01:39.191Z","oddsProvider":"Sportsbet","officialField":[{"runnerName":"CEOLWULF (NZ)","runnerNumber":1},{"runnerName":"LIGHT INFANTRY MAN (FR)","runnerNumber":2},{"runnerName":"SIR DELIUS (GB)","runnerNumber":3},{"runnerName":"ATTRITION","runnerNumber":4},{"runnerName":"COSMIC CRUSADER (NZ)","runnerNumber":5},{"runnerName":"BIRDMAN (IRE)","runnerNumber":6},{"runnerName":"LAND LEGEND (FR)","runnerNumber":7},{"runnerName":"MIDDLE EARTH (GB)","runnerNumber":8},{"runnerName":"SAINT GEORGE (GB)","runnerNumber":9},{"runnerName":"AELIANA (NZ)","runnerNumber":10},{"runnerName":"WARWOVEN","runnerNumber":11},{"runnerName":"BLIND RAISE (NZ)","runnerNumber":12}],"officialObservedAt":"2026-10-24T06:01:35.787663+00:00","officialSourceUrl":"https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Acceptances.aspx?Key=2026Oct24,VIC,Flemington","originalBarrier":5,"raceDate":"2026-10-24","raceNumber":8,"raceScratchings":[],"reason":"Form-first trial: Sir Delius is a narrow strongest winning-chance preference, with moderate confidence in an open race. His Good-ground Group 1 wins in the 2000m Turnbull and Queen Elizabeth demonstrate the relevant open-class peak, the latter at today's 59kg. Third-up from barrier 5, his ability to win from midfield or closer gives more positional flexibility than a selection dependent on an uncontested lead. Birdman has stronger recent dry-ground form but faces rail traffic; Warwoven's decisive age-group wins and 49.5kg are compelling, but 2040m against older horses remains untested.","result":{"checkedAt":"2026-10-24T06:47:35Z","margin":4.95,"order":"5-6-10-1-9-3-11-8-4-12-2-7","outcome":"LOST","position":6,"sourceUrl":"https://www.racing.com/form/2026-10-24/flemington/race/8","status":"confirmed","verificationNote":"Fresh official Racing.com rendered public page explicitly displayed Final Result for Flemington Race8 Saturday24October2026, Cox Plate2040m Group1. No.5 Cosmic Crusader won; frozen selection No.3 Sir Delius(GB) finished sixth4.95L behind. Twelve finishers displayed in complete order5-6-10-1-9-3-11-8-4-12-2-7. Scheduled4:10pm Brisbane and race time2:03.30 displayed. No separately displayed actual start or protest determination inferred. Finality rests on explicit Final Result. Observed06:47:35UTC; frozen WIN5.00 retained."},"runnerName":"SIR DELIUS (GB)","runnerNumber":3,"scheduledAt":"2026-10-24T06:10:00Z","selectedAt":"2026-10-24T06:02:05.665Z","sourceUrl":"https://www.sportsbet.com.au/horse-racing/australia-nz/flemington/race-8-11078588","status":"selected","trackCondition":"Good 4","venue":"Flemington","websitePublishedAt":"2026-10-24T06:02:26.205Z"},"reference":{"recordSha256":"8c19ce29d1bf24fb0ccc7dae716bd20f2fadb2ea56b3765a80ebdc6854326c1a","revision":"f13d7f36-9597-4060-bc3b-3c2c1651ff63","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotSha256":"2f87b65a191a6154a9e2e62bacefdf87754f2fb53c2d9268f13f8229dbd4dafa","version":462}}