{"schemaVersion":1,"record":{"alertIdentity":{"meetingId":"2026-10-24:royal-randwick","raceDate":"2026-10-24","raceId":"2026-10-24:royal-randwick:r10","sourceVenue":"Royal Randwick","version":1},"barrier":2,"betType":"WIN","caution":"The 61kg top weight is a major risk: 5kg more than his latest start, with no apprentice claims permitted. Osipenko meets him 1.5kg better from the Alan Brown and Encap meets him 2.5kg better from the Shannon, so those margins are not decisive. Anthracite can be dangerous if allowed an economical lead, while Major Beel and Thrice add pace but resume from layoffs. A slow race or an inside pocket would reduce Estadio’s advantage; a clear run is not assumed. Robusto needs a substantial first-up rebound. Same-source initial fixed WIN was 2.70 at 09:12 AEST; late fixed WIN is 2.60 at 16:55 AEST. Shortening is not proof of value, and no price advantage is asserted. This live benchmark is after the provisional form-first switch, not a validated model.","decisionStage":"final","discipline":"Thoroughbred","distance":"1600m","formSourceUrls":["https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/AllForm.aspx?Key=2026Oct24,NSW,Royal%20Randwick&recentForm=N","https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Scratchings.aspx?Key=2026Oct24,NSW,Royal%20Randwick"],"id":"2026-10-24-royal-randwick-r10","lateScratchings":[],"observedOdds":2.6,"oddsObservedAt":"2026-10-24T06:55:19.290Z","oddsProvider":"Sportsbet","officialField":[{"runnerName":"ESTADIO MESTALLA (IRE)","runnerNumber":1},{"runnerName":"ROBUSTO","runnerNumber":2},{"runnerName":"OSIPENKO (NZ)","runnerNumber":3},{"runnerName":"MAJOR BEEL (NZ)","runnerNumber":4},{"runnerName":"LORD PENMAN (NZ)","runnerNumber":5},{"runnerName":"ENCAP","runnerNumber":6},{"runnerName":"IMPERIALIST (NZ)","runnerNumber":7},{"runnerName":"ZULEIKA","runnerNumber":8},{"runnerName":"ANTHRACITE (NZ)","runnerNumber":9},{"runnerName":"ANYTHINK GOES","runnerNumber":10},{"runnerName":"THRICE (IRE)","runnerNumber":11}],"officialObservedAt":"2026-10-24T06:55:16.770191+00:00","officialSourceUrl":"https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Acceptances.aspx?Key=2026Oct24,NSW,Royal%20Randwick","originalBarrier":2,"raceDate":"2026-10-24","raceNumber":10,"raceScratchings":[7],"reason":"Form-first trial: Estadio Mestalla is the strongest evidence-backed winning chance, with moderate confidence. Consecutive seconds in the Group 2 Shannon over 1500m and Group 3 Alan Brown over 1400m provide the most reliable recent open-class form. He finished only 0.43 lengths from the Alan Brown winner, ahead of Robusto and Osipenko. His 1600m record is three wins and five seconds from ten starts, including a close Group 2 Randwick-mile second last December. Fourth-up, drawn barrier 2 with Nash Rawiller, he can conserve ground without needing a pace collapse. Anthracite is progressive and receives 9kg, but rises from benchmark company and drops from 2000m; Estadio has the stronger demonstrated class and exact-distance record.","result":{"checkedAt":"2026-10-24T11:13:03Z","margin":2.28,"order":"9-6-8-3-1-10-4-5-11-2","outcome":"LOST","position":5,"sourceUrl":"https://www.racing.com/form/2026-10-24/royal-randwick/race/10","status":"confirmed","verificationNote":"Fresh public Racing.com race-specific UI explicitly displayed Final Result for Royal Randwick Race 10, Saturday 24 October 2026, 1600m ROBRICK LODGE FILANTE HANDICAP. Runner 1 Estadio Mestalla (IRE) finished fifth, 2.28 lengths behind winner 9 Anthracite (NZ); 6 Encap second and 8 Zuleika third. Full ten-runner finishing order verified; runner 7 Imperialist shown SCR. Race time 1:34.28 and displayed scheduled 5:05pm Brisbane match this race; actual jump time was not separately reported. Explicit race Final Result establishes finality, not elapsed time, track finalisation or payouts. Original WIN 2.60 remains frozen; no closing fixed odds asserted."},"runnerName":"ESTADIO MESTALLA (IRE)","runnerNumber":1,"scheduledAt":"2026-10-24T07:05:00Z","selectedAt":"2026-10-24T06:55:38.946281+00:00","sourceUrl":"https://www.sportsbet.com.au/horse-racing/australia-nz/randwick/race-10-11078550","status":"selected","trackCondition":"Good 4","venue":"Royal Randwick","websitePublishedAt":"2026-10-24T06:55:53.659Z"},"reference":{"recordSha256":"9f19b6cae3c1d38b223274d68f5fdc35a33625913a7f6171785683bee5067ddd","revision":"f13d7f36-9597-4060-bc3b-3c2c1651ff63","schemaVersion":1,"snapshotSha256":"2f87b65a191a6154a9e2e62bacefdf87754f2fb53c2d9268f13f8229dbd4dafa","version":462}}